Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000114 0.000134 0.000155 0.000179 0.000205 0.000232 0.000263
2024-12-15 0.000085 0.000110 0.000139 0.000173 0.000212 0.000256 0.000307
2024-12-22 0.000071 0.000099 0.000132 0.000174 0.000222 0.000277 0.000344
2024-12-29 0.000060 0.000090 0.000127 0.000174 0.000232 0.000299 0.000381
2025-01-05 0.000051 0.000082 0.000121 0.000173 0.000238 0.000315 0.000411
2025-01-12 0.000041 0.000071 0.000112 0.000167 0.000238 0.000323 0.000431
2025-01-19 0.000036 0.000067 0.000109 0.000169 0.000246 0.000341 0.000462
2025-01-26 0.000029 0.000058 0.000101 0.000161 0.000243 0.000344 0.000476
2025-02-02 0.000025 0.000055 0.000099 0.000163 0.000251 0.000362 0.000507
2025-02-09 0.000022 0.000050 0.000095 0.000162 0.000255 0.000373 0.000531
2025-02-16 0.000020 0.000049 0.000096 0.000167 0.000267 0.000396 0.000568
2025-02-23 0.000018 0.000047 0.000094 0.000169 0.000275 0.000412 0.000597
2025-03-02 0.000014 0.000041 0.000088 0.000165 0.000275 0.000421 0.000620
2025-03-09 0.000011 0.000037 0.000084 0.000162 0.000277 0.000432 0.000646
2025-03-16 0.000009 0.000033 0.000080 0.000161 0.000282 0.000446 0.000674
2025-03-23 0.000007 0.000031 0.000079 0.000162 0.000290 0.000465 0.000711
2025-03-30 0.000006 0.000028 0.000075 0.000161 0.000293 0.000477 0.000737
2025-04-06 0.000004 0.000024 0.000070 0.000155 0.000291 0.000482 0.000753
2025-04-13 0.000003 0.000023 0.000069 0.000157 0.000298 0.000499 0.000787
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000019 0.000063 0.000150 0.000293 0.000499 0.000797
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000018 0.000062 0.000152 0.000301 0.000517 0.000832
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.000016 0.000060 0.000151 0.000304 0.000529 0.000858
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000016 0.000061 0.000155 0.000317 0.000554 0.000903